The vote to leave the EU has had tremendous effects on English and Scottish politics. What might it have had in Europe itself? Pretty substantial, one imagines. Anti-EU parties which have sprung up from nowhere in several EU countries since the immigration issues of the last couple of years will now be much encouraged by England’s — though perhaps not Scotland’s — departure.
Will there be another breakaway attempt? Several without a doubt, but the one that’s likely to proceed fairly soon, though not so ‘tidily’ as ours, will be in the most individualistic country of them all — Italy. Deeply in trouble economically, particularly in the condition of its banks, it will be needing large bailouts from the European Central Bank quite soon — in other words, subsidies from Germany’s taxpayers.
There isn’t the remotest chance that Italy will be helped — or, being a relatively much larger country than Greece, could be helped — so when our media settle down a bit and our negotiators start work in back offices it will be interesting to hear more about events in that country.