Reaching tolerable limits

The reason why the standard of living of the typical person in the dozen or so advanced countries cannot spread into the rest of the world within 200 or 300 years at the very least is that the present per capita use of energy every year would have to be multiplied at least seven or eight times during that period.

In actuality, the present use of energy to power the world’s production and transportation system will probably rise by another 30% to 40% as China’s standard of living gets close to ours, but this would be just about the limit. It is difficult to believe how India, Brazil, Indonesia or any other country can break into consumer goods exports because China will be making the whole world’s.

Anything beyond this would be increasing the rate of destruction of the natural environment or of other species far beyond anything that would be tolerable in any well educated society.

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